Three-Year Dollar Low Fuels Crypto Surge- Bitcoin Eyes $130

• Bitcoin’s price shows upward momentum, driven by the weaker dollar and market optimism, with analysts predicting a potential rally toward $130,000.
• The crypto surge fueled by the dollar’s weakness reflects broader market trends, with Bitcoin leading gains and attracting renewed interest.

The U.S dollar has not played the role of a safe-haven as the Iran-Israel war continues. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) price is rising as it seeks to beat its all-time high and even reach beyond to new levels of around $130,000. Hence, market participants are now pitting BTC against the U.S. dollar.

US Dollar’s Dominance Fades Amid Bitcoin Surge

The latest numbers indicate that U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been trading around 97.50 in the lower end of its range recorded earlier this year. Analysts note the unexpected lack of movement to safe assets into Bitcoin, even though there was a geopolitical crisis in the Middle East.

Macro researcher Lyn Alden commented on the development, noting, “The dollar index is dabbling in new cycle lows today.” He added that there was “barely any flight-to-safety bid in the past couple weeks.”

Market watchers have taken note of this dollar retreat, particularly because this trend is in contrast with a previous trend. A good example is that the DXY increased by more than 2.6% in October 2024 when Iran launched a barrage of missiles that targeted Israeli territory. However, this year, the traders are witnessing a different scenario, as instead of fiat currencies, digital assets are ramping up inflows.

Jamie Coutts, a crypto market strategist at Real Vision, has claimed that the condition is an indication of a changing tide. “Fiat is fading,” he observed. Coutts likened the situation to the early 2000s when dollar weakness catalyzed a massive capital shift toward fast-growing economies and raw materials, as reported by CNF. 

“If you remember 2002–2008, the last major dollar depreciation lit a fire under EM equities and commodities,” he noted, referencing the emergence of BRICS nations during that period. In addition, Coutts believes that crypto might be doing the same thing now. “Crypto is today’s EM. Capital is moving where the energy is,” he said.

What’s Happening With Bitcoin Price?

In the meantime, Bitcoin price is exhibiting strength. It dropped briefly below $100,000 on Sunday the last time that was below that mark was in early May but rebounded sharply when a shaky ceasefire negotiated by U.S. President Donald Trump went into effect on Monday. At press time, the BTC price stood at $107,353.22 on Thursday, June 26.

Source: Rekt Capital | X

Amid this action, crypto analyst Matthew Hyland believes that “bulls are in control,” while others highlighted Bitcoin price’s technical momentum, as mentioned in our earlier post. “Bitcoin has broken two 2-week downtrends over the past month,” said analyst Rekt Capital. This movement indicates resilience despite the risk-off mood in the traditional markets.

With the dollar trading at multi-year lows and capital hungry to fund more growth outside of fiat and bond markets, Bitcoin looks set on another leg up. It could potentially reclaim its all-time high of $111,970 and all the way up to $130,000.