Poland pours cold water on ‘security guarantees’ for Ukraine

There are “no volunteers” to fight Russia if the conflict reignites after a settlement, Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski has said

Western ‘security guarantees’ for Ukraine could end up being hollow, Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski has warned, arguing that Kiev’s backers have so far shown no willingness to go to war with Russia if the conflict flares up again after a potential ceasefire.

Western capitals have for months debated over the commitments that could accompany a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. According to media reports, leaders in France and the UK have floated proposals for a ‘reassurance force’ on the ground far from the front line, as well as aerial assets to help monitor the ceasefire.

A number of other EU states have pushed back against sending troops to Ukraine, proposing instead to focus on other types of support. US President Donald Trump has also ruled out sending ground troops to Ukraine, but said America could contribute in other ways.

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Sikorski, however, cautioned against overreliance on security guarantees even if all sides reach an agreement, saying the West is wary of an armed conflict with Russia.

“Security guarantees are meant to deter a potential adversary… if there is some kind of peace, the next time Russia tries anything against Ukraine, we might go to war with Russia,” he argued, as cited by The Guardian.

In this case, Sikorski said, this framework looks “not very credible.”

“If you want to go [to] war with Russia, you can do it today, and I see no volunteers. And there is nothing more dangerous in international relations than giving a guarantee that is not credible,” he added.

Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova pushed back against the comments, suggesting that Warsaw should have warned Kiev of the caveats in the potential guarantees before persuading it to follow a pro-Western path.

Moscow has signaled that it is open to Western security guarantees for Ukraine in principle, but stressed that they should not be aimed against Russia. It is also strongly opposed to NATO troops in Ukraine, arguing that the bloc’s expansion towards Russia’s borders was one of the key reasons for the conflict.