Bitcoin Bull Run 2025 at Risk as FED’s Interest Rate Decisions Loom

The post Bitcoin Bull Run 2025 at Risk as FED’s Interest Rate Decisions Loom appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bitcoin has seen significant gains following the shift in the political landscape in the U.S., especially after pro-crypto leader Donald Trump won the presidential election. In November 2024, the market saw an impressive 37.4% growth.

However, 2025 has been a volatile year for Bitcoin. Initially, the market surged by 9.54%, but in February and March, it experienced declines of 17.5% and 2.19%, respectively. Despite this, April saw a rebound with a 14.2% increase, and Bitcoin has risen by 0.38% since the beginning of May.

Three things that could prevent a new Bitcoin ATH.

Thing 2: The Fed. The market has already priced in approximately three rate cuts for the remainder of 2025, a key assumption embedded in current asset valuations—including Bitcoin. Risk assets have rallied on the expectation… https://t.co/Cv08jYfHHA pic.twitter.com/BNRtactDbJ

— Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) May 4, 2025

Despite this positive price action, crypto analyst Timothy Peterson warns that Bitcoin’s rally could be in danger. He shared his concerns on X, highlighting two key factors: worsening investor sentiment and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

Why is Bitcoin Price’s ATH at Risk?

According to Peterson, Bitcoin’s growth could be hindered by a lack of market confidence. Low investor confidence often leads to reduced investment, which can slow or even halt price growth.

Peterson points to surveys such as the AAII Investor Sentiment Survey, which shows only 20% of investors are feeling bullish. Additionally, the NAAIM Equity Exposure Index is sitting at 60%, far below the 80% threshold typically needed to signal a bull market.

• Also Read :
•   Crypto Market Live Today: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, Contract, While CORE, WAL, FLR Surge
•   ,

The Impact of Federal Reserve Rate Cuts

Another concern Peterson raises is the market’s expectation of at least three interest rate cuts this year. This belief has already affected Bitcoin and other high-risk assets. Peterson warns that if the Federal Reserve fails to cut rates as expected or continues to sell government bonds, real yields could rise, negatively impacting Bitcoin.

While Bitcoin has shown resilience in 2025, its future performance will depend on key macroeconomic factors such as investor sentiment and Federal Reserve decisions. If confidence remains low or the Fed delays rate cuts, Bitcoin’s current rally could lose momentum.